BOJ Policy Rate
Tag rules: FRESH <45d · RECENT <90d · STALE <150d · OUTDATED ≥150d (monthly flow data). CURRENT = persistent (interest rates stay valid until next decision). Stale/outdated values are deweighted by the AI per prompt instructions.
No directional confluence — indicators inconclusive for BOJ
Synthetic reactions — decision aid only. Decision aid only — past ≠ future.
EC Pres. von der Leyen: Important to do China critical minerals dialogue.| FJ
EC Pres. von der Leyen: Important to do China critical minerals dialogue.
*VON DER LEYEN: WILL DISCUSS REDUCING DEPENDENCY ON HORMUZ
EC Pres. von der Leyen: We will discuss reducing dependency on Hormuz| FJ
EC Pres. von der Leyen: We will discuss reducing dependency on Hormuz
EC Pres. von der Leyen: We're working with the G7 for a critical raw material deal.| FJ
EC Pres. von der Leyen: We're working with the G7 for a critical raw material deal.
ECB keeping all options open for July meetingOil supply to take months to recover once the Strait opensECB is no longer dealing with short-term supply shockCan't exclude second-round effects from energyECB policy settings are still broadly neutralNo relief is in sight for the for
I still see upside risks to inflationThe ECB is ready to act again if neededThe ECB can move graduallyECB's Kazaks said that inflation risks in the Eurozone remain tilted to the upside despite improving geopolitical conditions following the recent US-Iran agreement.His remarks co
We can only welcome what a peace deal means for HormuzWe have started to see second-round effectsWe are looking very closely at servicesECB President Christine Lagarde struck a cautiously optimistic tone welcoming the inflation relief that could stem from easing geopolitical tens
The BOJ hiking to 1% on Tuesday would mark the highest short-term policy rate in 31 years and represents a significant JPY catalyst regardless of the Iran deal outcome. The former economist's framing, that the peace deal may reduce pressure for faster hikes but does not alter the
The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate. How does it do that? More here. Injects 425bn yuan via 7-day reverse repos in open market operates today. Unchanged rate of 1.4%.ps, Bloomberg report:"Chinese municipalities are intensifying
Yonhap reporting. The won had already seen some bids due to the US-Iran peace MoU but this verbal support is helping too. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exchange markets. China operates a managed floating exchange rate system, under whic
Silk is on the dovish side of a knife-edge split, speaking into a labour market that makes the case for holding look stronger by the week. the RBNZ will be issuing no speech notes for this. Summary:Silk addresses the Craigs Investment Partners Women's Wealth Breakfast in Tauranga
MON: G7 Summit (15-17 Jun), German Wholesale Prices (May), Indian WPI (May), EZ Industrial Production (Apr), US Industrial Production (May)TUE: BoJ Policy Announcement (Jun), RBA Policy Announcement (Jun), G7 Summit (15-17 Jun), Chinese Industrial Production (May), Retail Sales (
Rate hikes by year-endRBNZ: 65 bps (76% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoJ: 46 bps (90% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)ECB: 37 bps (70% probability of no change at the next meeting)BoE: 35 bps (91% probability of no change at the next meeting)BoC: 24 b
Full report hereECB's Kocher said yesterday's rate hike is intended to help stabilize inflation as the Middle East conflict continues to push up energy and commodity prices.Kocher warned that rising energy costs are weakening consumer purchasing power, discouraging investment, an
Full report here ECB's Dolenc said the European Central Bank’s rate hike gives policymakers enough flexibility to respond to the ongoing Middle East-driven energy shock.He emphasized that given the high uncertainty around how severe and long-lasting the energy shock may be, the c
The rate hike yesterday was necessaryThat as high energy prices are increasingly having an indirect impact on other pricesThe supply shock triggered by the war in the Middle East is proving to be strong and persistentWe cannot simply "look through" itWe are keeping all our option
A near-unanimous expectation of a hold leaves limited scope for a market surprise on Tuesday, with attention shifting to the RBA's forward guidance and how it characterises Middle East-driven inflation risks. The split over the September outlook, with a notable minority still pri
Westpac's call for a June hold followed by further hikes in August and September keeps the RBA's tightening cycle alive in market pricing, even as the bank trims its inflation peak forecasts. The framing that downside risks dominate, with zero or one hike more likely than three,
| DATE | EVENT | PAIR | DIR | ENTRY | STOP | TGT | ACTUAL | PIPS | USD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 | Test NFP | EUR/USD | LONG | 1.09 | 1.085 | 1.1 | — | — | — |